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AER Insights2024

Central Bank Credibility and Fiscal Responsibility

Jesse Schreger, Pierre Yared, Emilio Zaratiegui

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1
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2024-09-01
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AER Insights
TL;DR

We consider a New Keynesian model with strategic monetary and fiscal interactions.

AER InsightsPublic FinanceStructural
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AER Insights
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Public Finance
Methods and data
Structural
Abstract

We consider a New Keynesian model with strategic monetary and fiscal interactions. The fiscal authority maximizes social welfare. Monetary policy is delegated to a central bank with an anti-inflation bias that suffers from a lack of commitment. The impact of central bank hawkishness on debt issuance is nonmonotonic because increased hawkishness reduces the benefit from fiscal stimulus while simultaneously increasing real debt capacity. Starting from high levels of hawkishness (dovishness), a marginal increase in the central bank’s anti-inflation bias decreases (increases) debt issuance. (JEL E12, E31, E52, E58, E62, H63)

Source versions
AER Insights2024-09-01
American Economic Review Insights 6(3):377-394
10.1257/aeri.20230263
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