Papers
AER2025

Monopsony and Employer Misoptimization Explain Why Wages Bunch at Round Numbers

Arindrajit Dube, Alan Manning, Suresh Naidu

Source versions
1
Latest record
2025-08-01
Primary source
AER
TL;DR

We show that administrative hourly wage data exhibit considerable bunching at round numbers.

AEREducationLaborRDAdministrative data
Metadata matches
Sources
AER
Fields
EducationLabor
Methods and data
RDAdministrative data
Abstract

We show that administrative hourly wage data exhibit considerable bunching at round numbers. We run two experiments randomizing wages around $0.10 and $1.00 to experimentally measure left-digit bias for identical tasks on Amazon Mechanical Turk; we fail to find any evidence of discontinuity in the labor supply function at round numbers despite estimating a considerable degree of monopsony. We replicate these results in administrative worker-firm hourly wage data from Oregon. We can rule out inattention estimates found in the behavioral product market literature. We provide evidence that firms “misoptimize” wage setting. More monopsony requires less employer misoptimization to explain bunching. (JEL D22, J22, J31, J42)

Source versions
AER2025-08-01
American Economic Review 115(8):2689-2721
10.1257/aer.20200678
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