Papers
NBER2026

Estimating the Present Value of R&D Tax Benefits in the United States

Brandon Pecoraro, Nicholas C. Hoffman, Martin Lopez-Daneri, Elena C. Derby, Rachel Moore, Shannon E. Sledz

Source versions
1
Latest record
2026-05-18
Primary source
NBER
TL;DR

Using a panel of confidential corporate tax returns, we provide the first direct estimates of the realized present value of corporate tax benefits from R&D credits and deductions in the United States.

NBERPublic FinanceAdministrative dataPDF link
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NBER
Fields
Public Finance
Methods and data
DescriptiveAdministrative data
Abstract

Using a panel of confidential corporate tax returns, we provide the first direct estimates of the realized present value of corporate tax benefits from R&D credits and deductions in the United States. Realized tax benefits can deviate from statutory tax benefits because firms in loss status are typically unable to fully utilize credits and deductions to offset current-year taxes and instead must carry these attributes forward. We develop a novel procedure to track the intertemporal firm-level utilization of tax attributes generated by corporate R&D spending, and find that the present value of R&D tax benefits varies substantially with firms’ loss status, age, and size. Old and large firms typically use R&D tax benefits quickly, while young firms – especially those that are small – frequently operate in loss status and use tax attributes more slowly. From 2012–2016, the average firm generated $0.41 in statutory tax benefits per dollar of R&D investment, with a realized present value of $0.36. Young and small firms in a loss position realized only $0.23 per dollar, a 44% decrease relative to the statutory benchmark.

Source versions
NBER2026-05-18
Working Paper w35208
w35208
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